Insiders First Desk
2023 Buyers Are Breaking
A specific cohort of American homeowners is entering a distress window right now — and most note buyers haven't found them yet. Homeowners who purchased in 2023 locked in at rates meaningfully above where the market had been for the prior two years. They entered with thin equity cushions,
FICO's Monopoly Is Over
For four decades, a single credit score model controlled who could get a mortgage, who got declined, and how every note in the secondary market was priced. That monopoly is over. The Federal Housing Finance Agency has formally opened the GSE underwriting framework to competing scoring models, and lenders are
Rates Spike. Notes Discount.
Three Federal Reserve regional presidents dissented at the July 28–29 FOMC meeting — the first unified three-way dissent since September 2016 — demanding rate hikes while Chair Warsh held steady. The 10-year yield responded immediately, and mortgage rates followed. When this happens, the mechanics are fast and unforgiving: rising
Rates Spike. Notes Discount.
Contractors Stop Getting Paid
Contractors Stop Getting Paid
Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies just confirmed what smart note buyers need to hear: home improvement spending is projected to keep decelerating through mid-2027. That's not a recession headline — it's a sourcing calendar. When homeowners stop funding renovations, contractors stop getting paid.
Affordability Breaks. Deals Open.
SFR Rents Split by Region
Affordability Breaks. Deals Open.
Both the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index and the FHFA House Price Index flagged deteriorating conditions in their May 2026 releases — simultaneously. That dual confirmation matters. When two independent indices using different methodologies and different data sources arrive at the same conclusion, the signal cuts through the noise. Here
SFR Rents Split by Region
Spring leasing season 2026 delivered something more nuanced than the headline suggests: single-family rental markets didn't rise together — they fractured. A narrow window of outsized rent momentum showed up in a specific band of markets while others posted outright declines for the second consecutive year. That divergence